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Update (23 April 2023) #13

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merged 3 commits into from Apr 26, 2023
Merged

Update (23 April 2023) #13

merged 3 commits into from Apr 26, 2023

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travisbrown
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@travisbrown travisbrown commented Apr 23, 2023

Please note: The numbers here do not include all Twitter Blue subscribers. Twitter does not provide a way to list subscribers, and the methods used to compile this list do not find all accounts (in particular protected accounts, non-Anglophone accounts, and accounts with a small number of followers are less likely to appear here). The most recent internal leaks suggest that this list includes around 85-90% of all Twitter Blue subscribers.

This week's numbers are unusual in that Twitter has apparently "gifted" Twitter Blue subscriptions to many thousands of accounts, including almost all accounts with more than a million followers, only a tiny fraction of which were previously paying customers. There are also many reports of accounts under that threshold receiving Twitter Blue status without paying or having a phone number verified. It's not possible to determine via the API whether an account is a "gift" or an actual paid subscription, so this report necessarily includes both.

Update for the past week (minus a couple of days):

  • 33,370 newly identified accounts with Twitter Blue verification
  • 33,367 accounts lost Blue verification (either by unsubscription or Twitter action)
  • 13,033 accounts returning (had been previously observed as subscribed, then weren't, and now are again)
  • 284 Blue accounts suspended
  • 707 Blue accounts self-deactivated

Net increase of 12,010 identified current Blue accounts for a total of 551,517. This puts my estimate for the total number of subscribers around 615-650k.

Some other information about current subscribers

Follower counts

Note that the Blue accounts that our methods miss will generally be newer and less prominent accounts, which means that these numbers are likely to be low—for example the number of Twitter Blue subscribers with fewer than 1,000 followers is probably much higher than 50%.

  • Blue subscribers with 0 followers: 2,998
  • Blue subscribers with fewer than 100 followers: 95,984 (17.4%)
  • Blue subscribers with fewer than 1,000 followers: 263,320 (47.7%)

Other verification

  • Blue subscribers with "Business" verification: 5,935
  • Blue subscribers with "Government" verification: 1304

Overall only about 4.8% of legacy verified accounts were signed up for Twitter Blue when Twitter ended the legacy verification program this week.

Change to format

Previously the third column of the data/accounts.csv file had the following values:

  • B: verified as a business account
  • G: verified as a government account
  • V: verified but verification type is not specified

The status was only included if the API result for the account had the value true for the verified field. The API is currently returning false for that field for all accounts (because Twitter ended the legacy verification program on 20 April 2023), so using the previous logic, this column would always be empty. To make it more useful, we now include B or G based on the value of ext_verified_type, regardless of the value of verified.

@travisbrown travisbrown merged commit 39357ca into main Apr 26, 2023
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